The development of new energy vehicles is a common goal of the automotive industry worldwide. Different countries have different visions for the development of new energy vehicles. China’s vision for the development of new energy vehicles is “from a big automobile country to a strong automobile country”. The technical route for developing new energy vehicles in different countries is also different. The development trend of China's new energy automotive industry is also reflected in the difference in the development of technology.
1 The number of buses decreased compared to 2016, especially for pure electric buses, which fell by 36% compared to 2016. The overall demand for buses in the market has dropped, and pure electric buses have seen a greater decline. The reason is:
(i) The electrification of buses is a general trend. Here is the trend of bus dynamics. The person in charge of the Ministry of Communications proposed on January 20, 2018, the China Electric Vehicles Centenary Forum (2018) that the percentage of new energy buses in 2020 should be adjusted to 60%.
(ii) However, the rapid development of the 500-km long-distance high-speed railway between the metro and urban railways in the city has not increased the demand for passenger cars. The buses mentioned here are the market trends.
(iii) Taking Wuhan as an example, the development of the subway and its contribution to the development of the city are not comparable to buses. Here is the change in the position and role of buses in urban transport structures.
The development trend of buses: Accelerating the speed of electrification, one is breadth and the other is depth. On the basis of electric buses, smart driving technology must be promoted, and it has become an inevitable trend.
2 The electric passenger car (SUV) is a growth model before 2020. For example, in 2017, Dongfeng launched an SUV with a continuous mileage of 350 kilometers. There is no problem to replace the current fuel car taxi; in 2017, pure electric passenger cars have made gratifying achievements in the development of diversification, quality, and sharing.
3 The electric light truck (4.2 long) will be the main vehicle in the city's distribution market, and it is basically clear. For example, the Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd.'s electric light trucks (4.2 long) that last more than 280 kilometers are generally favored by the market.
4 Dongfeng Company originally planned that by 2020, sales of new energy vehicles in the coming year should reach 360,000 (including passenger cars and trucks) and account for 18% of the nation’s 2 million plans. Dongfeng Motor ranked the second in sales and sales in 2017, and SAIC ranked first. By 2020, there will be no shortage of 1.6 million new energy vehicles for SAIC, Dongfeng, FAW, and Chang'an.
5 electric micro-facets in the current urban distribution car market is widely recognized models, generally have the ability to continue 200 kilometers, will be the Ministry of Communications in 2018 to start the green logistics demonstration project necessary models.
6 Three-cell Lithium Battery and Lithium Iron Phosphate Batteries are Powered Together, and Their Total Occupies 90% or More, Subsequent Development is Higher Nickel Ternary Lithium Batteries Higher and Higher Ratio, High Nickel Trivalent Lithium Batteries 300Kw/Kg , Has achieved loading.
7 The power battery has a considerable improvement in energy efficiency. From 80Kw/Kg in 2008 to 300Kw/Kg in 2017, the cost reduction rate is basically in line with expectations. In the development of new energy vehicles, the practice of subsidizing state finance is in line with international standards. The main target of subsidies is power batteries. The specific energy of the power battery is increased, and the cost reduction is inevitable.